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The Over/Under trend clearly favors one team during Week 1 of preseason
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The Over/Under trend clearly favors one team during Week 1 of preseason

If you bet the UNDER on NFL preseason games in Week 1… you would have Cleaned based on the final scores from the entire board.

The UNDER has scored in 12 of the first 17 games this preseason (counting the Hall of Fame Game), and there were several games that weren’t tough for the UNDER over the past week.

In total, there were 11 games in Week 1 that ended with fewer than 35 points, and there were several with fewer than 20 combined points, including both Thursday night matchups (Detroit vs. New York and New England vs. Carolina).

There will only be one Thursday night matchup in Week 2, but it could be a game to win for the UNDER with the Philadelphia Eagles playing on slightly shorter rest than normal in that matchup.

It’s hard to put much stock in preseason trends, as starters may play more (or less) depending on the team in upcoming matchups. However, there is one key preseason trend to keep in mind regarding the total as well.

Entering this season, closing totals of 37 or more have been UNDER by a percentage of 56.4% (527-407) since 2010. On the other hand, totals closing under 37 have been OVER by a percentage of 58.9% (279-195).

Based on Week 1 data, betting on the UNDER outcome on some of the higher totals isn’t a terrible strategy to consider for Week 2.

Rates are updated periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and would like help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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